The previous a number of months haven’t been sort to XRP. After it marked a brand new all-time excessive in mid-July 2025, it has been principally downhill, shedding over 70% of its worth, dumping towards $1.00, being surpassed by BNB and USDC by way of market cap, and registering six consecutive months within the pink at one level.
Amid all of those opposed developments, some analysts have turned extremely bearish on the asset. Whereas the dominant perception is that XRP has reached its most vital second throughout this cycle, some, corresponding to Ali Martinez, pointed to potential drops to the subsequent essential assist ranges at $0.80, $0.62, or $0.51 if the $1.00 flooring provides in.
Glassnode warned that XRP token holders proceed to comprehend extra losses than earnings, indicating intensifying promoting strain even amongst buyers within the pink. Even ChatGPT made some worrying predictions if the asset certainly flips $1.00 from assist into resistance quickly. However perhaps such low sentiment is what is required for XRP to show issues round.
Run Up As an alternative?
Paradoxically, historical past reveals that the markets hardly ever reward such consensus. In actual fact, Warren Buffett has mentioned it greatest, “Be fearful when others are grasping, and be grasping when others are fearful.”
Excessive pessimism has ceaselessly appeared close to essential turning factors throughout the crypto market. BTC, ETH, and XRP have all skilled durations the place sentiment collapsed and remained there for some time earlier than main recoveries started. That is typically attainable when weak arms exited, and long-term buyers quietly amassed.
For XRP, this accumulation seems to be coming from ETF buyers, because the funds monitoring its efficiency have seen a green-only streak of eight consecutive weeks, whereas the BTC and ETH ETFs have bled out closely.
The latest sell-off additionally pushed a number of on-chain and technical metrics into traditionally oversold territory. Some analysts argue that XRP could also be approaching a zone the place risk-reward begins to enhance, even when short-term volatility persists.
Historical past is certainly on XRP’s facet. Recall that the asset’s sentiment had plunged to related ranges in mid-June however skyrocketed by double digits inside 24 hours because the analytics firm Santiment attributed that rally to the deteriorating investor habits.
July Agrees
Present information present that XRP is on observe to shut June with a decline of over 20%, its worst month-to-month efficiency since February 2025. Knowledge from CryptoRank means that this aligns with earlier performances, as June has been a predominantly bearish month for the asset.
Quite the opposite stands July. XRP has closed every of the previous six editions within the inexperienced, displaying some spectacular features. 5 out of the six have seen double-digit worth will increase, together with large 45%+ pumps in 2020 and 2023. The median achieve for July stands at near 11%.
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