Bitcoin has confirmed its energy after breaking by the $94,200 resistance stage and nearing the 50-week EMA at $97,200 for the primary time in 3 months.
This bullish motion has shifted the Bitcoin value prediction towards a $100,000 breakout earlier than the top of January.
Bitcoin VDD Indicator Exhibits Lengthy-Time period Holders Not Promoting
In keeping with on-chain insights shared by Carmelo Alemán, a verified blockchain analyst at CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s Worth Days Destroyed (VDD) indicator, which offers a direct studying of long-term holder conduct, means that the latest rally nonetheless has room to run.
The VDD metric calculates the variety of days bitcoins remained inactive earlier than being moved, weighted by the quantity transferred.
Bitcoin Breaks Resistance as Holders Refuse to Promote
“Traditionally, when Bitcoin’s value rises whereas VDD stays low, the market tends to be in a wholesome enlargement part, the place demand absorbs the out there provide with out producing structural promoting stress.” – By @oro_crypto pic.twitter.com/soss3JTgU0— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 15, 2026
At present, VDD stands at roughly 0.53 in January 2026, a traditionally low stage, suggesting that bitcoins being transferred are comparatively younger, that means older cash stay untouched.
Virtually, this implies long-term holders aren’t promoting as the worth rises.
“This conduct strengthens the standard of the bullish motion, as the worth improve is just not accompanied by distribution from the market’s most skilled capital,” Alemán defined.
Traditionally, when Bitcoin’s value rises whereas VDD stays low, the market tends to be in a wholesome enlargement part, the place demand absorbs out there provide with out producing structural promoting stress.
“On this context, the breakout above resistance and continued upward momentum are firmly supported by long-term holder inactivity, reinforcing the concept that the present transfer is pushed by actual market energy somewhat than fragile rebound fueled by short-term hypothesis,” the analyst added.
A sustained VDD improve would sign long-term holder distribution that might see Bitcoin problem the bears’ final protection at $100,000.
Bitcoin Value Prediction: Weekly Chart Exhibits Double-Backside Formation
Cryptonews analysts defined just lately that Bitcoin may see a rally, bringing the worth effectively above the $100,000 psychological stage, and this aligns with the technical construction on the weekly timeframe.
The 1W Bitcoin chart reveals value stabilizing after a pointy corrective part, with construction nonetheless leaning bullish regardless of latest volatility.
BTC trades round $95,000, having rebounded from the $86,300 area, which aligns intently with the 100-week transferring common and marks a crucial higher-low zone.
The clear double-bottom formation round this space suggests robust demand absorption and reinforces the notion that long-term patrons are stepping again in somewhat than capitulating.
From a pattern perspective, Bitcoin stays above the 200-week transferring common close to $68,000, preserving macro bull market construction. Nevertheless, value at the moment trades beneath the 20-week and 50-week transferring averages, clustered across the $97,600-$98,200 zone.
This space now acts as speedy dynamic resistance, and a decisive weekly shut above it might present early affirmation that bullish momentum is returning.
The horizontal resistance bands at $103,650 and $111,600 symbolize crucial upside ranges.
These zones beforehand acted as main distribution and rejection areas, making them logical breakout targets if momentum accelerates.
A break above $98,000 would possible shift sentiment decisively bullish, opening pathways for motion towards $103,000 initially, and probably $111,000 if quantity and momentum broaden.
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