Commonplace Chartered’s crypto analyst Geoffrey Kendrick has issued a daring name to traders, declaring that Bitcoin’s current dip beneath $100,000 might symbolize “the final one ever.”
With Bitcoin buying and selling round $103,045 on November 6, Kendrick outlined a staged shopping for technique centered on the 50-week shifting common at $103,000 and the Bitcoin-gold ratio threshold of 30.
His aggressive stance comes as a number of technical indicators counsel a important second for the world’s largest cryptocurrency.
The timing carries explicit weight as Bitcoin at present trades simply $1,100 above its important 50-week shifting common.
Historic patterns point out that Bitcoin has definitively misplaced this weekly help degree solely 4 occasions, with every occasion resulting in checks of the 200-week shifting common, at present round $55,000.
Commonplace Chartered Maps Three-Stage Entry Technique
Kendrick’s buying and selling plan is damaged down into three distinct phases, designed to seize potential upside whereas managing draw back danger.
He recommends deploying 25% of the utmost allocation instantly at present ranges, including one other 25% if Bitcoin closes above $103,000 on Friday, and committing the remaining 50% when the Bitcoin-gold ratio returns to above 30.
The technique displays Kendrick’s broader thesis that decentralized finance will finally overtake conventional finance, with Bitcoin serving because the foundational apex asset that can’t afford to break down.
In the meantime, a dealer, generally known as Elon Trades on X, gives a extra cautious perspective, figuring out Bitcoin’s retest of the 50-week exponential shifting common round $100,000 as a important juncture.
If this degree holds, he anticipates a mid-cycle reset earlier than the subsequent leg greater, whereas a break would goal the $90,000–$92,000 demand zone as the subsequent help space.
$BTC retesting 50-week EMA round $100k
If it holds → doubtless mid-cycle reset earlier than subsequent leg
If it breaks → $90k–$92k subsequent demand zone pic.twitter.com/8cpASnr6dm— ElonTrades (@ElonTrades) November 6, 2025
Disaster Efficiency Information Exhibits Bitcoin’s Superior Lengthy-Time period Returns
Evaluation of 4 main market crises since 2020 reveals that Bitcoin’s sample is to outperform gold and equities as soon as the preliminary panic subsides, regardless of behaving like a high-risk asset in periods of acute stress.
Through the COVID-19 crash in March 2020, Bitcoin required two months to get better to pre-crisis ranges however delivered 220% good points over the next six months, vastly exceeding gold’s 17% advance and the S&P 500’s full restoration by August 2020.
The 2022 rate-hike shock noticed Bitcoin plunge 53.4% from its March ranges.
Gold emerged as essentially the most steady defensive asset throughout this era, declining by simply 13.7% and buying and selling 4.7% above its March 2022 degree by April 2023, whereas Bitcoin remained 26% beneath its place to begin, regardless of rebounding 58.6% from its October low.
More moderen episodes paint a nuanced image, with Bitcoin displaying asynchronous habits throughout the March 2023 regional banking disaster and the April 2025 tariff shock.
In each instances, Bitcoin moved independently of fairness markets moderately than serving as a conventional secure haven, but in the end delivered robust returns as soon as volatility subsided.
Since 2020, a $100 funding in Bitcoin grew to $1,473.87 by July 2025, in comparison with simply $209.85 for the S&P 500, representing an 88% outperformance that has attracted surging institutional curiosity.
Market Faces Powder Keg of Concentrated Liquidations
Bitcoin’s present consolidation round $110,000 masks excessive fragility in market construction, with roughly $11.39 billion in brief positions susceptible to liquidation on a ten% upward transfer and $7.55 billion in lengthy positions in danger if costs fall by the identical magnitude.
Bitcoin reclaimed $103,000 as upbeat US knowledge and a world fairness rebound boosted danger urge for food, although agency yields and a robust greenback capped momentum.#bitcoin #MarketUpdate https://t.co/XQzcWV3wRZ
— Cryptonews.com (@cryptonews) November 6, 2025
Talking with Cryptonews, VALR CEO Farzam Ehsani warns that this focus creates a “powder keg impact,” heightening sensitivity to Federal Reserve indicators and commerce developments between Washington and Beijing.
Nonetheless, MEXC Analysis Chief Analyst Shawn Younger maintains cautiously optimistic expectations for November, projecting that Bitcoin may attain $117,000 if key resistance at $111,000–$113,000 is damaged.
“A break of this degree may set off upward momentum and pave the way in which to $117,000, and with favorable macroeconomic information, a retest of the all-time excessive of $126,000,” he mentioned.
StealthEx CEO Maria Carola strikes a extra cautious tone, arguing that the market seems overheated and susceptible to sharp corrections from geopolitical shocks or uncertainty in Federal Reserve coverage.
“If the US shutdown continues and the Fed fails to set a transparent fee stance, the probability of a repeat check of $100,000 stays excessive,” she said, asserting that Bitcoin now has to show itself as a mature institutional instrument.
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